Denmark Broadband Market Report
2005
A flat country with a high population of coastline to area and
many islands, Denmark is a Scandinavian country bordered in the
south by Germany, with a population of 5.4 million people living in
2.5 million households, and a population density of 126 inhabitants
per square kilometre.
GDP per capita at $44,808 was the fifth highest in the world
in 2004 according to the International Monetary Fund. This compares
with Luxembourg at $69,737 which is the world's highest GDP per
capita, and the UK placed fourteenth at $35,548.
The telecommunications sector became fully liberalised in the
summer of 1996 and it is regulated by the IT-og Telestyrelsen
(ITST); the National IT and Telecoms Agency, an independent
government body. Their policy is to move towards a more lightly
regulated telecommunications environment.
The government has taken a low intervention approach to the
development of the broadband market through the use of initiatives
and public funding. It has insisted that development of ICT must
take place primarily on market terms, and should be based on
private initiatives.
The incumbent telecommunications operator in the Danish
market, TDC Tele Danmark, is a fully privatised company and the
sole operator with SMP (Significant Market Power) in the fixed
telecommunications market.
Denmark has more international bandwidth per inhabitant than
any other nation in the world. According to the International
Telecommunications Union (ITU), Denmark had around 35Mbps of
bandwidth per inhabitant in 2004. The Netherlands had the second
most at around 20Mbps and the UK was fourth with around 13Mbps per
inhabitant.
With regard to ICT usage, the latest available figures show
that in 2004, 79% of households had a PC, while 69% of all
households had access to the internet. These are the third highest
penetration levels in Europe for both PC and internet penetration
of households. Iceland has Europe's highest levels of PC
penetration, at 86% of households, and internet penetration, at 81%
of households. The high levels of ICT penetration provide a good
basis for high broadband penetration. (fig.1)

Figure 1 – Residential PC and
internet penetration, OECD Science, Technology and Industry:
Scoreboard 2005
At the end of June 2005, broadband lines were calculated at
around 1.2 million. This represents growth of around 160,000
connections, or 16.1% over the first half of 2005. (fig.2)
Figure 2 – Total broadband
subscription by country, OECD, June 2005
The market growth compares favourably with the 15.2% growth
reported across the OECD and the 16% growth Worldwide for the same
period; indicating that Denmark is still some way from market
saturation. (fig.6)
Figure 3 – Broadband penetration by
population, DSL Forum and Point Topic, June
2005
Figures published by Point Topic place Denmark as the nation
with the second highest penetration per population in Europe and in
fourth position in the world, with 21 broadband connections per 100
inhabitants in June 2005.Korea boasted the World's highest
broadband penetration level, with 26 connections per 100 people,
and Hong Kong had the second highest with 23 connections per 100
people. In Europe, The Netherlands had the highest broadband
penetration level, with 22 broadband connections per 100 people.
(fig.3)
Figure 4 – Broadband penetration by
population, OECD Broadband Statistics, June
2005
In comparison with OECD countries, Denmark is far ahead of the
average broadband penetration level of 11.8% of the population.
(fig.4)
Figure 5 – Broadband penetration by
households, World Broadband Statistics Q2 2005, Point Topic, June
2005
In terms of broadband penetration of households, Denmark had a
penetration level of 46% in June 2005. Whilst impressive, this is
still significantly lower than South Korea which boasted a
household penetration level of 81% at that time. (fig.5)
Figure 6 – Broadband growth over
1st half of 2005 and broadband penetration by
population, OECD Broadband Statistics, June
2005
In terms of the business market, there are around 100,000
businesses in Denmark; with small and medium sized enterprises
(SMEs) accounting for over 98% of them. Latest figures in 2004 show
that 97% of all enterprises with 10 or more full time employees had
internet access. The figures also show that 80% of all enterprises
with 10 or more full time employees used a broadband connection.
This makes Denmark the most advanced nation for ICT penetration
within businesses in Europe. (fig.7)
Figure 7 – Internet and broadband
penetration of businesses, OECD Science, Technology and Industry:
Scoreboard 2005
As regards broadband coverage, the regulator, ITST, have
stated that 98% of all households were able to access broadband
services at speeds of 512kbps and above in June 2005, while 95% of
all households could access broadband services at speeds of 2Mbps
and above. Cable broadband, at speeds of up to 4Mbps, was available
to 60% of households in June 2005. (fig.8)
Figure 8 – Estimated broadband
coverage, Analysys Consulting Limited, September
2005
The dominant technology in the Danish broadband market in June
2005 was DSL; accounting for around 64% of all broadband
connections. Cable connections accounted for around 33% of
connections, while fibre (FTTx) accounted for around 5% of
connections. (fig.9)
Figure 9 – Western European
broadband market by technology type, Analysys Consulting Limited,
June 2005
Although mainly a DSL operator, the incumbent, TDC, also owns
cable infrastructure. This is an unusual feature for a liberalised
market, and leaves Denmark as one of only three Western European
markets in which the incumbent has its own cable infrastructure;
the other two being Norway and Portugal.
TDC's main competitor, TeliaSonera, is the second largest
broadband provider in the market. The majority of its lines are
provided by cable subsidiary Telia Stofa. TeliaSonera has
experienced difficulties in the Danish DSL market, after incurring
losses due to its late entry into the market. As a result it has
scaled down its operations, withdrawing from the residential DSL
market in order to concentrate on delivering services to higher
value niche markets such as symmetrical and high-speed business
services.
In terms of wireless broadband, Denmark is one of the few
Western European countries that have a national FWA offering. This
is provided by Sonofon but has failed to establish a sizeable
customer base. High subscription costs have made it very difficult
to compete with ADSL and cable services in the residential market.
The low number of subscriptions gained by current FWA operators and
the fact that Tele2 has handed back its FWA license, suggest that
FWA is unlikely to become a mass market technology.
A further interesting use of wireless has been demonstrated by
Arrownet, a small cable player that has been using FWA to increase
its footprint around its cabled areas. Most of its users are
provided with access via a cable TV network that is backhauled to a
MAN (Metropolitan Area Network) using fixed wireless. Arrownet also
uses the fixed wireless equipment to offer FWA to households in the
area that are not connected to the cable networks.
With regards to higher speed infrastructure, the Danish
Government has acknowledged that the demand for faster broadband
connections in Denmark is on the increase and as a result it is
keen to see an increase in the number of FTTx networks that are
being deployed throughout the country. It has however stated that
increased rollout is expected to be market driven and no public
funds are planned to be used. Regional initiatives, as outlined in
ITST's 'Mapping of Broadband Access Services in Denmark' report,
aimed at furthering the reach of broadband, and more specifically
FTTx, in rural areas of Denmark include:
- Coordinated planning of broadband infrastructure – 'Clever
digging': Fibre optics or at least 'empty pipes' to be put into the
ground whenever digging activities occur. Coordination and activity
planning between telecommunication providers, energy suppliers and
others can lead to more efficient solutions and bring down the
overall cost of deploying fibre optic networks.
- Demand bundling: A community can aggregate different user
groups (public institutions, businesses and residents) to provide a
sufficient level of demand, as a financial basis for
broadbandproviders to deploy new infrastructure.
As a result of the rising demand for higher speed connections,
Danish utility companies have been quick, compared to
their European counterparts, to commit themselves
to exploring the opportunity to provide broadband services. In
August 2004, Nesa began rolling out its 'True Broadband' FTTH
service across the Zealand region, via its Nesa Fibernet
subsidiary. Other utility companies are also in the process of
deploying broadband networks with plans in place to deploy FTTx
networks passing around 500,000 households by the end of 2007 and
at some point in the future to 1.2 million households. This could
see FTTx become a mass market technology in the future.
The future expansion of these FTTx networks may not run as
planned, however, as a ruling by the Danish Energy Authority has
stated that energy companies cannot use public funding to build new
broadband networks. Under this ruling, energy companies will only
be able to deploy FTTx networks at the same time and in the same
ditch as electricity cables. This will prevent energy companies
from rolling out networks to profitable areas only.
As well as the range of technologies, there is also
competition in the market from local loop unbundling (LLU). Denmark
was one of the first countries in Europe to introduce LLU; making
it available during 1998. Despite the early introduction, LLU has a
smaller share of the Danish DSL market than in many other Western
European countries. Analysys Research calculated that 111,594 local
loops were unbundled by the end of June 2005. This represents 15.2%
of the DSL market. (fig.10)
Figure 10 – Unbundled DSL lines as
a percentage of total DSL lines, Analysys Consulting Limited, June
2005
As a result of early LLU liberalisation and a broad range of
technologies, Denmark has a higher number of broadband operators
than most Western European countries. Despite this, market share
figures show that the incumbent, TDC, maintains a very high share
of the wholesale market, when compared to other advanced Western
European markets such as Sweden and The Netherlands. TDC's DSL and
cable connections accounted for 70.7% of all connections in June
2005, compared to the 46.1% and 43.3% shares of the respective
incumbents in Sweden and The Netherlands. TDC's share of the retail
market is also fairly high at 56.3%. The Swedish and Dutch
incumbents had 37.3% and 31.9% shares of their respective markets.
This indicates a lack of competition in the Danish broadband
market, especially in the residential sector. (fig.11)
Figure 11 – Wholesale and retail
shares of Western European incumbent operators, Analysys Consulting
Limited, June 2005
The largest alternative DSL operator is Cybercity, which was
one of the first operators to enter the LLU market. In an attempt
to gain market share it introduced a number of innovative services
to the market, including paid-for content and also offered higher
speed services before its competitors. Having failed to gain a
large share of the residential market it has, like TeliaSonera,
begun concentrating more on the business market. Cybercity is also
involved with some of the Danish utility companies, providing them
with broadband telephony and VoD services for their municipal fibre
networks. Continuing its trend of offering higher speed services
before its competitors, Cybercity has announced its intention to
provide ADSL2+ and VDSL services offering download speeds of up to
25Mbps towards the end of 2005.
While other operators have attempted to compete with the
incumbent via product differentiation by building their own
infrastructure, the only significant player to compete on pricing
has been Tele2. It has done this by reselling TDC's bitstream ADSL
wholesale offering.
In terms of service bundling, triple-play offerings started to
appear in the market during the second half of 2004, mainly over
the municipal network of the energy companies. In order to insure
itself against these threats, TDC announced that it would double
the speed of all its residential DSL services from a maximum 2Mbps
to 4Mbps by the end of 2005 and also launched an IPTV service in
May 2005 as part of a triple-play service, consolidating its 40%
share of the cable TV market.
Another interesting feature of the telecommunications market
is the resale of fixed telephony subscriptions. Mobile operators
and resellers are able to remove TDC from the customer relationship
by reselling their fixed telephony and combining it with the
customer's mobile subscription, creating a single bill for all
telephony expenditure. These fixed-mobile bundles could also be
combined with DSL access, combining the entire telecommunications
spend.
In terms of pricing; basic 'first generation' broadband
packages cost around EUR45-55 per month; which is more expensive
than many other Western European markets. Similar services in the
UK and France cost around EUR25-30 per month, while in The
Netherlands, a country with similar penetration levels and GDP per
capita to Denmark, a similar service costs around EUR20-30 per
month. These high costs are the result of low competition in the
residential retail sector.
Similarly, 'Second generation' broadband services with speeds
of around 8Mbps are also particularly expensive; costing around
EUR135 per month. This is considerably higher than in France and
the UK, where similar services cost around EUR30-40 per month. A
similar service in The Netherlands costs around EUR60-80 per month.
These high costs are largely due to the low availability of these
higher speed services, although as more ADSL2+ services are
launched, these costs are likely to fall.
In conclusion, the early introduction of LLU, and the liberal
approach taken towards it, has created a high number of operators
in the Danish broadband market; resulting in a wide range of niche
services being available. However, the high retail share of the
incumbent shows that this has failed to create a competitive
market, especially in the residential sector. Markets where the
competition has developed through the reselling of the incumbent's
wholesale offerings, rather than markets where the regulator has
encouraged infrastructure competition through LLU, may therefore
end up being the most competitive.
Nevertheless, the level of broadband penetration in Denmark is
one of the highest in the world. High levels of basic ICT
penetration and high GDP per capita have stimulated demand for
broadband, however, the high cost has resulted in there being few
'second generation' services in the market. With operators
beginning to launch ADSL2+ services, and municipal fibre networks
being deployed, the cost of high speed services is likely to fall
somewhat and as a result, greater penetration of these services is
likely.
Despite having one of the highest levels of broadband
penetration of households in Europe, the broadband market has yet
to achieve tele-density levels (Analysys Research calculated that
there were 82.6 lines per 100 people in 2004). It is therefore
expected that the broadband market will achieve further growth;
stimulated by higher speed broadband services and by the
triple-play services that are being launched in the market.
In 2005, with high ICT penetration, broadband penetration and
mobile take-up, the telecommunications market in Denmark is highly
advanced. There are a number of operators, providing services over
a range of technologies.
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Graphs
Figure 1 – Residential PC and internet
penetration, OECD Science, Technology and Industry: Scoreboard
2005
Figure 2 – Total broadband subscription by
country, OECD, June 2005
Figure 3 – Broadband penetration by population,
DSL Forum and Point Topic, June 2005
Figure 4 – Broadband penetration by population,
OECD Broadband Statistics, June 2005
Figure 5 – Broadband penetration by households,
World Broadband Statistics Q2 2005, Point Topic, June
2005
Figure 6 – Broadband growth over 1st
half of 2005 and broadband penetration by population, OECD
Broadband Statistics, June 2005
Figure 7 – Internet and broadband penetration of
businesses, OECD Science, Technology and Industry: Scoreboard
2005
Figure 8 – Estimated broadband coverage, Analysys
Consulting Limited, September 2005
Figure 9 – Western European broadband market by
technology type, Analysys Consulting Limited, June
2005
Figure 10 – Unbundled DSL lines as a percentage of
total DSL lines, Analysys Consulting Limited, June
2005
Figure 11 – Wholesale and retail shares of Western
European incumbent operators, Analysys Consulting Limited, June
2005